Pay Less Attention to Polls. Instead, Follow Political Scientist Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys to the White House

American University History Professor Allan Lichtman has accurately predicted every presidential election since 1984 with a 13-factor formula that has nothing to do with public opinion polls or his personal preferences about who would make the best president. He calls it the “Keys to the White House,” a historically based prediction system with true-false questions after reviewing …

Trump’s Presidential Immunity: Supreme Court Holds Historic Hearing

I share former Rep. Liz Cheney's frustration, even outrage, as she wrote in a NYTimes op-ed, that it appears the Supreme Court will not rule swiftly enough on Donald Trump's immunity claim that he can stand trial before the 2024 election on charges related to January 6, 2021. “It cannot be that a president of …

Lies, Hyper-Partisanship, Double Standards, and Hypocrisy: Trump’s Hush-Money Trial

My Substack e-newsletter is on Donald Trump's hush-money trial, placed in historical context. Some of the same players were involved in the impeachment of Bill Clinton in the 1990s and the hush-money trial of Sen. John Edwards (D-NC), who ran for president in 2007 and early 2008. Except this time, they seem to be advocating …

Trump Becomes First Former President On Trial, In Possibly Only Case Against Him To Conclude Before Election

Donald Trump today becomes the first former U.S. president to stand trial for fraudulently and feloniously falsifying business records to cover up a $130,000 hush-money payment to adult film actor Stormy Daniels. Politifact offers a guide. This may be the only one of his trials to conclude and reach a verdict before the November election. …

Trump and Andrew Johnson Compared Themselves to Jesus

Donald Trump compares himself to historic martyrs Jesus Christ, Abraham Lincoln and Nelson Mandela. He "is not the first president to compare himself to Jesus Christ. In 1866, President Andrew Johnson famously did, too...." Johnson, who succeeded Abraham Lincoln after the 16th president was murdered in April, 1865, was an egotistical, enigmatic man unpopular with …

What Is The ‘Deep State’?

If Donald Trump is elected, he promises to fire 50,000 civil servants, who he calls the "Deep State." But who are they? The NYT explains. Is There Really A Deep State? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MAX--pvc71s Study Hall: "The presidency of Donald Trump was full of allegations of a “Deep State” — a secret network of corrupt government bureaucrats …

Is GOP Sabotaging Itself By Rejecting Bipartisan Immigration Reform? Election Will Decide

Republican Sen. James Lankford of Oklahoma calls overhauling U.S. immigration -- which hasn't been done since the 1980s -- a "Rubik's cube." He was the principal author of a bill to, in the words of the Wall Street Journal's conservative editorial board, "tighten the legal standard for migrants claiming asylum in the U.S., while allowing an emergency …

Mitch McConnell, Longest Serving Senate Republican Leader, to Retire

If Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell in 2016 hadn't kept open Antonin Scalia’s Supreme Court seat for nearly a year, depriving President Barack Obama of the right to appoint Scalia's successor, Donald Trump probably wouldn't have won the presidency that year, the Wall Street Journal editorial board surmises. The prospect of Trump changing the nation's …

How Many ‘Illegals’ Has Biden Let Into US? Does US President Have the Authority to Close the Border?

Donald Trump and his supporters assert, falsely, that President Biden has let in between 10 million and 13 million illegal aliens into the country. They also assert falsely that the President has the authority to close the border, and Biden has chosen not to do so. Glenn Kessler of The Washington Post's fact-checker clarified that …

Despite Biden’s Optimism About the 2024 Election, One Factoid Reveals Bad Odds

A Democrat has to win the US popular vote by at least three percent to ensure an electoral college victory. A Republican can lose the popular vote by nearly 6 million and still win in the electoral college.  Joe Biden won 80 million votes compared to Donald Trump's 74 million but he won the electoral …